if someone wanted to pull a george wallace and play electoral college spoiler, in the us of a of 2015, could it be done?
remember, the goal is not to build a large national base, but to actually win a plurality in some states. so, e.g., ross perot in ‘92 – by far the most successful third-party run under the current party system – received 19% of the vote nationally but didn’t even come close to winning any states. (he was only within single digits in maine.)
you’d need a good regional platform like the segregationist platform that wallace and, earlier, strom thurmond rode to such success. in other countries the role is usually played by regionalist or ethnic nationalist parties – the SNP or the TDP or the BQ. arguably this was exactly the formula that thurmond and wallace used – white southerners believed that the democratic party no longer had their interests at heart, and the dixiecrats and aip provided an alternative.
today’s white southerners are pretty well represented by the republican party. plus, of course, there’s no way you could run a successful campaign on the same ethnic regionalist grounds you could use 50 years ago. donald trump is trying something much weaker and the media is treating him literally as a joke. so that’s probably out of the question.
i don’t know if it would work but if you put a gun to my head and made me run a third-party spoiler campaign i’d go after white progressive ultraprotestants. bernie sanders, basically, with tammy baldwin as a running mate. it might be enough to win a good chunk of new england and maybe, like, oregon or something as well.
i don’t know if this is what bernie is doing. but if he is he’s smarter than i thought.

![If not for selfies I have no idea what I would have done in this situation – how do you prove you’re not somebody?(this guy called my mom’s house[!] asking for me, and when she offered to give him my number, he was like “nah, he knows how to reach me.” i had no idea how to reach him, but i figured maybe he was someone i’d tutored or something so i got her to give him my number… this ensued)](http://40.media.tumblr.com/211b540cb04581f4b55673bf1e7012e5/tumblr_nrx0f7SkDO1uocff8o1_540.png)
